22 May 2023

New Zealand Steel reduces emissions - gets paid millions: New Zealand Steel increases emissions - gets paid millions

The Government made an extremely exaggerated announcement on Sunday 21 May 2023 that it will contribute $140 million to a New Zealand Steel project to electrify (replace coal thermal heat) their steel and iron recycling process. Thus reducing future emissions of greenhouse gases.

NZ’s biggest ever emissions reduction project unveiled the title breathlessly gushed.

If only the hyperbole flowing from the joint Government and Te Tari Tiaki Pūngao/EECA announcement matched the appalling reality of how dysfunctional New Zealand Steel's treatment is under the emissions trading scheme.

New Zealand Steel has never faced an emissions price under the emissions trading scheme.

In every year since 2010, New Zealand Steel has been allocated far more free emissions units than the number it has had to surrender back to the Government.

Here is a chart of the allocated emissions units and the estimated emissions trading scheme liability to surrender units.

The effect of the excessively generous allocation of units is to completely insulate New Zealand Steel from an emissions price.

Notwithstanding this extremely generous subsidy, New Zealand Steel still engaged in windfall arbitrage profiteering by buying international hot air emissions units back in 2012 and 2013.

The annual amount of free emissions units allocated is proportional to the steel production. If production and emissions increase, the amount of free emission units increases.

Conversely, if steel production and emissions decline, the amount of free emission units decreases. Free allocation of emission units incentivises increased emissions. And disincentivises reduced emissions.

New Zealand Steel has been allocated a total of 16 million emission units between 2010 to 2021.

New Zealand's emissions units now have an enhanced value due to the 2020 amendments to the Climate Change Response Act.

This is a chart of the annual values of the New Zealand Steel unit allocations when priced with a mean May price. May is the month when the units are transferred to New Zealand Steel's ownership.

The 16 million emissions units allocated to New Zealand Steel have a total value of $308 million. The proposed grant to reduce steel recycling emissions by electrification, is $140 million.

New Zealand Steel has already received twice as much money ($308 million vs $140 million) to maintain it's emissions, as the value of the proposed electrification grant.

That's why I say that New Zealand Steel may be getting paid to reduce emissions but it has already been paid twice as much to keep emitting.

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